Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 48.631697 54.673420 60.968651 68.000189 75.617350 83.602457 92.588637
2024-10-27 37.204984 45.694179 55.102851 66.226188 78.937825 92.933130 109.426258
2024-11-03 33.047772 43.068414 54.634788 68.812397 85.557843 104.544323 127.530469
2024-11-10 29.384897 40.378737 53.530410 70.159742 90.353097 113.810221 142.835095
2024-11-17 25.862965 37.367043 51.596396 70.106214 93.148471 120.492269 154.973262
2024-11-24 24.122979 36.365587 51.937464 72.670993 99.004322 130.788740 171.470593
2024-12-01 21.579708 34.026475 50.327248 72.556762 101.368819 136.739949 182.683458
2024-12-08 19.092540 31.506743 48.247232 71.619775 102.514567 141.062905 191.835323
2024-12-15 17.263532 29.726428 46.992571 71.619421 104.749991 146.685657 202.597671
2024-12-22 15.656579 28.110671 45.823493 71.608954 106.879289 152.126159 213.138566
2024-12-29 15.053917 27.936333 46.638297 74.296088 112.609760 162.261452 229.783479
2025-01-05 13.997685 26.962696 46.221374 75.202023 115.907565 169.241316 242.435452
2025-01-12 12.893674 25.849177 45.568149 75.786537 118.843100 175.896718 254.927753
2025-01-19 11.266006 23.729638 43.272309 73.882767 118.246088 177.815485 261.232022
2025-01-26 10.916007 23.726053 44.190929 76.683684 124.268996 188.682106 279.475304
2025-02-02 10.292923 23.187722 44.227871 78.144226 128.391903 197.015132 294.440092
2025-02-09 9.405468 22.091502 43.301355 78.086145 130.296216 202.310837 305.370852
2025-02-16 9.156886 22.143009 44.222988 80.863886 136.347081 213.389067 324.234895
2025-02-23 8.378222 21.120705 43.308508 80.740212 138.118787 218.529478 335.074143
2025-03-02 7.514197 19.841957 41.878113 79.725629 138.510188 221.704674 343.226687
2025-03-09 6.896230 18.989016 41.116827 79.725246 140.383163 226.961539 354.276251
2025-03-16 6.329129 18.180152 40.377794 79.713912 142.210828 232.152243 365.269891
2025-03-23 6.231949 18.364313 41.408759 82.622882 148.536293 243.853208 385.459449